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Betting on the Miami Dolphins moneyline Sunday as they host the New England Patriots might make some degree of sense.
You will have to lay $375 to win $100. But consider the Dolphins have beaten New England in seven of the last eight meetings. The last time they lost to them at home was back in 2019.
It's called keeping more money in your pockets as a gambler, even if you have to risk a little more. Your odds are quite good here.
Against The Spread, the Pats have covered in three of the last four games.
It is interesting to point out that Miami has covered the spread in the last eight meetings of this series. The bookmakers are aware of this stat. If you consider the ATS winning history substituting this weekend's spread, New England would actually be 4-4 Against The Spread versus Miami.
With this in mind, we shouldn't be surprised that Sagarin gives us a number of Dolphins 6.83.
Patriots @ Dolphins
Opening Line - This one opened at Miami 7.5.
Line Trend - The line has generally moved from 7.5 to 7 but has fluctated between those numbers at some books.
Sagarin – Sagarin gives us a number of 6.83.
Action Trend – Action is 85% to 89% Dolphins.
Comparables
- Raiders +7.5 to +7 Bengals (80% or more on Bengals) (Bengals 6.49 On The Money) - Home favorite covers.
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West Virginia +7/+7.5 Pittsburgh (dog mostly covers with 7-point loss) Pitt 7.19 On the Money - Road dog covers.
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