NFL Worst to First Odds in 2024

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Every year we read stories about NFL teams going from worst to first in their division.

So we did some research on teams going from last to first and repeat division winners, and then our guys created the below odds on the likelihood of each happening.

Here are the stats from the last 10 years:

Worst-to-First Teams

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2023:    1  (Houston)

2022:    0

2021:    0

2020:    1  (Washington)

2019:    0

2018:    1  (Chicago)

2017:    2  (Jacksonville and Philadelphia)

2016:    2  (Carolina and Dallas)

2015:    1  (Washington)

2014:    0

Repeat Division Winners

2023:    4

2022:    4

2021:    4

2020:    3

2019:    5

2018:    4

2017:    3

2016:    2

2015:    3

2014:    6

Number of last year's Division Winners that Win Division This Season

Over/Under                     3½       

Note: Last year’s division winners were Buffalo, Baltimore, Houston, KC, Dallas, Detroit, TB, SF.

Number of last year's last place teams that Win Division This Season

Over/Under                     1

Note: Last year’s last place teams were NE, Cincinnati, Tennessee, LAC, Washington, Chicago, Carolina, Arizona.

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