Wachovia Bank Under Watchful Eye of Prediction Markets

Submitted by Jagajeet Chiba on

Written by :

Jagajeet Chiba

Published on :

Wachovia Bank suitors are reportedly waiting for a US Government seizure so that they can buy up the best assets and let the government sort out the rest, Bloomberg reported on Saturday.

Citigroup Inc., Wells Fargo & Co. and Banco Santander SA are in talks with Wachovia, the Wall Street Journal reported yesterday. They're part of the same group that passed on a chance to buy Washington Mutual Inc., which the U.S. closed two days ago, leaving JPMorgan to buy WaMu for $1.9 billion, a fraction of its previous offer in March.

The bidders may try that tactic again at Charlotte, North Carolina-based Wachovia following its 27 percent plunge in New York trading yesterday, according to analysts at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Egan-Jones Ratings Co. They may get help from regulators, who said the U.S. benefited from seizing and selling WaMu because the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. didn't have to tap its $45 billion insurance fund.

``WaMu's takeover has proven that there's an easy way, if the FDIC is involved,'' said Sean Egan, president of Egan-Jones in Haverford, Pennsylvania. ``You kick the hell out of the equity holders and bondholders. That may be the new model for bank takeovers.''

The online financial prediction market, intrade.com was now giving Wachovia a 75 percent chance of failing before year's end, a huge surge since the failure of Washington Mutual Thursday night. With WaMu now taken over, Wachovia suddenly finds itself the next big target for a takeover.

Wachovia has more resources to draw upon than WaMu did, including its market capitalization of $21.6 billion and assets that rank sixth among U.S. lenders, Bloomberg cited.

The Wall Street Journal reports that "Wachovia officials don't believe they need to rush into a deal, and the bank isn't feeling immediate pressure on its financial condition," but the mortgage crisis has put pressure on many banks. Shares have fallen 78% in the Charlotte, NC-based company over the past year, and the NY Times says Wachovia holds $120 billion of risky option adjustable-rate mortgages, which allow borrowers "the option of skipping part of their payments and adding that debt to the principal of the loan."

CEO Robert Steel, the former Treasury official hired this summer to replace Kennedy Thompson, told employees in an e-mail yesterday that Wachovia was ``strong and performing well.'' The bank is more diversified than WaMu, owning the third-biggest U.S. brokerage, plus units in wealth management and corporate and commercial banking, he wrote.

----

Jagajeet Chiba, Gambling911.com

Related Content

Jerome Powell

Jerome Powell Conviction Odds at -1000 Not to Happen, Replacement Betting Market Also Available at BetOnline

US President Donald Trump's probe into Jerome Powell has caused havoc across the political and financial sectors.
Man on phone with prediction graphs appearing in background

Find a Prediction Market as Sector Surges Along With Sports Betting

Not all brokerage firms are on board with the explosive new industry that went from nothing this time last year to generating $13 billion worth of prediction trading volume during the month of November.
Californians Watch Battle Over Online Sports Betting

Californians Watch Battle Over Online Sports Betting

Daily television ads are bombarding Californians to choose a side on an upcoming vote on two online sports gambling propositions: 26 and 27.

Economic Odds for Dow, Oil, Gas and Ukraine Joining the EU

Due to the war raging between Russia and the Ukraine, economies worldwide have endured a massive impact.