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With the Atlanta Hawks clinching the top seed in the Eastern Conference with 13-1 odds of winning the 2015 NBA Championship for a potential $1300 Pay Day, inevitably they have decided to rest their primary starters. This means that other players will have an opportunity to shine, and hopefully help daily fantasy sports enthusiasts cap off some strong earnings as well.
Over the past three games we have witnessed the following:
Versus Charlotte:
The standout here was Mike Muscala (Atlanta – PF) $4.3K scoring 18 baskets then tacking on 10 rebounds and 4 assists. As if that weren’t enough he managed to get 2 blocks and a steal. The end result was better than 40 fantasy points or nearly 12X his value.
Enter Kent Bazemore (Atlanta – SG) $4.2K who managed a 30 fantasy point night against the Hornets, needing only around 25 fantasy points to make value.
Dennis Schroder (Atlanta – SG) $5.8K – He may be priced higher than the aforementioned players but Schroder produces – not just with baskets scored – but with assists. He had 11 of them against Charlotte the other night. All-in-all he had a 35-plus fantasy showing. He only needed around 29 fantasy points to make value.
Versus Milwaukee:
Atlanta opted to start its regulars, leaving the above mentioned players out in the cold.
Thabo Sefolosha (Atlanta – SG) $3.5K did come close to making value.
Against Detroit:
Sefolosha came off the bench to score a sweet 29 fantasy points to make better than 8X his value.
It’s interesting to note that Sefolosha did not make value against Charlotte where other regular bench players chosen to start did manage to do so.
The key strategy we see is Atlanta opting to rest its main starters the second half of a back-to-back. In both the upcoming Brooklyn and Phoenix games, the Falcons players will have had plenty of rest leading up to those matchups.
The Knicks have allowed the 7th most fantasy points to opposing shooting guards so Bazemore, Schroder and Sefolosha are all fair game on April 13, the later especially if he is named as starter.
The prices should remain relatively stable leading up to that game. Do watch closely for other matchups where Atlanta opts to sit out key starters.
- Tyrone Black, Gambling911.com
